Senior White House officials told Israeli counterparts that Obama will demand Benjamin Netanyahu completely suspend construction in settlements, Haaretz reported. It is inconceivable that the Israeli Prime Minister and his conservative coalition will agree to such a demand, leading to a direct clash between the two governments.
The report was just one aspect of wide-ranging breakdowns in coordination and communication between Washington and Jerusalem. "Obama's people brief their Israeli counterparts in advance much less about security and Middle East policy activities than the Bush administration used to," the officials said. And when they do brief Israeli officials, they don't consult with them or coordinate their statements in advance, the Haaretz report continued.
This has caused several coordination "malfunctions" between the two states in the past two months, they said, the most recent being the statement of Assistant U.S. Secretary of State Rose Gottemoeller, calling on Israel to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The statement was not coordinated with Israeli officials in charge of the nuclear issue. They heard it first from the media.
This followed other equally problematic incidents, such as the American policy shift toward Syria and the opening of direct talks with Damascus followed minimal coordination with Israel. Another incident concerned U.S. envoy for Iranian affairs Dennis Ross' trip to the Gulf states a few days ago for talks on Iran. Though Israel was briefed in general details, there was no consultations or message-coordination before the trip. Nor did Ross pass through Israel on his way to the Gulf or back.
The American policy toward Iran is only vaguely presented to Israel, and details obtained via European channels.
Israeli officials feel that their no country no longer has a "special" relationship with the United States. "The feeling is that the dialogue and coordination with the Arab states and with Europe is today no less important to the U.S. and perhaps more so than with Israel," the official said.
As Omri Ceren writes in his Mere Rhetoric blog:
"That's a little too generous. The new administration sees Israel as a particularly problematic state in the Middle East, responsible for the length and breadth of Middle East instability. This was their position before the election and it's been their positions since they got into office. So it's not exactly a shock that they're pressuring Israel while ineffectively sucking up to Syria.
The only question left is how this will end up being Israel's fault. If Israel attacks Iran, then it'll be that. The "Israeli self-defense will undermine Obama's diplomacy" meme has already been well-seeded by Gates and Biden, by Brzezinski, and - on the same day, almost as if there was a coordinated campaign - by the NYT and the Washington Post.
If Israel doesn't attack Iran, then it'll be either anti-Hamas efforts or Syria or Israel's nuclear deterrent. All three have already been fed to reporters as "sources of tension" by the Iran Lobby, part of their ongoing drip drip drip erosion of Israel's standing in DC.
It won't be settlements - too blase. The whole point is to give Netanyahu a demand that he can't possibly meet, so that his subsequent refusal can be used as a pretext for degrading ties."
Uzi Arad, the official in the Prime Minister's Office in charge of the liaison with the American administration, has not even forged a direct channel to his counterpart, National Security Advisor General James L. Jones. Arad is scheduled to travel to Washington next week to prepare for Netanyahu's trip.
Arad will outline the first chapters of Israel's new foreign policy when he finally meets with Jones next Tuesday.
Tags: arad, israeli-american, jones, netanyahu, obama, relations, settlements
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